XRP ETF ‘obvious’ as Polymarket bettors up approval odds to 85%

Polymarket shows an 86% chance that a Ripple ETF will be approved in 2025. Source: Polymarket
Crypto community members are growing more optimistic about an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval following the resolution of a multi-year legal battle between Ripple and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
On March 19, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced the case had concluded. In an X post, the Ripple executive said the SEC will drop its appeal against Ripple, ending the $1.3 billion unregistered securities suit that started in December 2020.
Following the development, Nate Geraci, president of the advisory firm ETF Store, said on X that the approval of an XRP (XRP) ETF is next. Geraci said it was “obvious” that it’s only a “matter of time” before the SEC approves an XRP ETF.
The executive predicted that asset managers like BlackRock and Fidelity would be involved in offering the asset.
Aside from Geraci, users on the crypto betting platform Polymarket also expect approval for an XRP ETF in 2025. On March 26, Polymarket gave an 86% chance that an XRP-based ETF product would be approved this year. The bet will resolve if an XRP ETF receives approval from the SEC by Dec. 31. At the time of writing, the betting market had a volume of $55,000. Polymarket shows an 86% chance that a Ripple ETF will be approved in 2025. Source: Polymarket However, users only give a 42% chance that an XRP ETF will be approved before July 31. Despite being a gambling site, Polymarket users’ predictions have historically been very accurate. A Dune Analytics dashboard studying the accuracy of Polymarket bets showed that the platform had been accurate by over 90% a month before betting markets were resolved. Related: SEC plans 4 more crypto roundtables on trading, custody, tokenization, DeFi Despite being a huge milestone, the end of the multi-year legal battle between Ripple and the SEC failed to move the markets significantly. On March 19, XRP traded at $2.32, according to CoinGecko. At the time of writing, the asset hovers at around $2.44, a 5% increase. On March 21, analysts said the new development had already been priced in. Nicolai Sondergaard, research analyst at Nansen, previously told Cointelegraph that the resolution had been widely expected. Magazine: Memecoins are ded — But Solana ‘100x better’ despite revenue plunge
Polymarket punters give 86% odds to XRP ETF approval in 2025
XRP price only surged by 5% as the SEC battle ends
Bitcoin (BTC) $ 114,924.00
Ethereum (ETH) $ 4,226.17
XRP (XRP) $ 3.00
Tether (USDT) $ 1.00
BNB (BNB) $ 837.01
Solana (SOL) $ 179.41
USDC (USDC) $ 0.999811
Lido Staked Ether (STETH) $ 4,214.71
Cardano (ADA) $ 0.924887
TRON (TRX) $ 0.348041
Dogecoin (DOGE) $ 0.217095
Chainlink (LINK) $ 24.23
Wrapped stETH (WSTETH) $ 5,114.08
Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) $ 114,814.00
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $ 41.90
Wrapped Beacon ETH (WBETH) $ 4,550.35
Stellar (XLM) $ 0.405466
Sui (SUI) $ 3.51
Wrapped eETH (WEETH) $ 4,532.48
Ethena USDe (USDE) $ 1.00
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) $ 564.39
Hedera (HBAR) $ 0.238248
Avalanche (AVAX) $ 22.95
WETH (WETH) $ 4,226.84
LEO Token (LEO) $ 9.50
Litecoin (LTC) $ 114.65
Toncoin (TON) $ 3.22
USDS (USDS) $ 0.999972
Shiba Inu (SHIB) $ 0.000012
Binance Bridged USDT (BNB Smart Chain) (BSC-USD) $ 0.999858
WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) $ 43.57
Uniswap (UNI) $ 10.27
Polkadot (DOT) $ 3.83
Coinbase Wrapped BTC (CBBTC) $ 114,931.00
Ethena Staked USDe (SUSDE) $ 1.19
Bitget Token (BGB) $ 4.44
Monero (XMR) $ 274.64
Cronos (CRO) $ 0.145066
Mantle (MNT) $ 1.33
Pepe (PEPE) $ 0.000010
Aave (AAVE) $ 282.98
Ethena (ENA) $ 0.650120
Dai (DAI) $ 1.00
Bittensor (TAO) $ 350.72
Ethereum Classic (ETC) $ 21.17
NEAR Protocol (NEAR) $ 2.50
Aptos (APT) $ 4.41
Ondo (ONDO) $ 0.939447
Pi Network (PI) $ 0.353493
Internet Computer (ICP) $ 5.18
Jito Staked SOL (JITOSOL) $ 219.80
OKB (OKB) $ 126.40
Arbitrum (ARB) $ 0.488810
Binance-Peg WETH (WETH) $ 4,223.78
BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) $ 1.00
POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) $ 0.252202
Kaspa (KAS) $ 0.085410
USD1 (USD1) $ 0.999500
Algorand (ALGO) $ 0.245367
Gate (GT) $ 17.42
Cosmos Hub (ATOM) $ 4.38
VeChain (VET) $ 0.023385
Fasttoken (FTN) $ 4.56
Rocket Pool ETH (RETH) $ 4,811.13
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) $ 0.030961
sUSDS (SUSDS) $ 1.06
Sei (SEI) $ 0.314592
Render (RENDER) $ 3.64
Binance Staked SOL (BNSOL) $ 191.96
Jupiter Perpetuals Liquidity Provider Token (JLP) $ 5.14
Kelp DAO Restaked ETH (RSETH) $ 4,440.10
Official Trump (TRUMP) $ 8.93
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) $ 0.670224
Worldcoin (WLD) $ 0.925662
Flare (FLR) $ 0.024048
Bonk (BONK) $ 0.000022
BFUSD (BFUSD) $ 0.999216
Story (IP) $ 5.53
USDT0 (USDT0) $ 0.999745
Filecoin (FIL) $ 2.41
StakeWise Staked ETH (OSETH) $ 4,547.02
KuCoin (KCS) $ 12.35
Lombard Staked BTC (LBTC) $ 114,593.00
Liquid Staked ETH (LSETH) $ 4,574.37
Sky (SKY) $ 0.070249
Jupiter (JUP) $ 0.482822
USDtb (USDTB) $ 1.00
Polygon Bridged USDT (Polygon) (USDT) $ 1.00
Provenance Blockchain (HASH) $ 0.028555
Falcon USD (USDF) $ 0.999877
XDC Network (XDC) $ 0.083185
Injective (INJ) $ 13.67
NEXO (NEXO) $ 1.30
Mantle Staked Ether (METH) $ 4,522.86
Celestia (TIA) $ 1.71
Kinetiq Staked HYPE (KHYPE) $ 41.94
Renzo Restaked ETH (EZETH) $ 4,457.63
First Digital USD (FDUSD) $ 0.999180
SPX6900 (SPX) $ 1.36
Tether Gold (XAUT) $ 3,339.91