Shiba Inu (SHIB) Entering Most Dangerous Quarter of Year

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is heading into summer with a track record that does not inspire much confidence. The seasonal trend has been consistent: the warmer months tend to bring weaker returns, and 2025 so far is showing signs that this pattern may hold once again.

If you look at SHIB’s monthly performance by CryptoRank from June to August, you will see that those months are some of the weakest. June’s return is -15.1% on average, with a median of -11.8%, showing regular sell-offs. July and August are not far behind, with average returns of -2.7% and -1.3%, and medians of +2.1% and -1.0%, respectively. Even with a few positive spikes in the middle of summer, the big picture is still looking down.

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The recent movement supports the need for caution. SHIB ended Q1, 2025, with a -41.4% return, which is not a good start to the year. April and May showed some signs of life with gains of 6.92% and 15.8%, but the big picture remains uncertain. 

SHIB is trading near $0.00001536. That is still below the range it was in in February and March, and it is having a hard time breaking past the resistance at around $0.00001698. Key support is around $0.00001107.

The average and median numbers for other months help explain where SHIB tends to move. May is usually one of the best months, with an average return of +65.4% and a median return of +13.2%. But by June, that energy often dies down. 

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The quarterly data lines up. In 2023 and 2024, SHIB’s Q2 returns were -30.2% and -44.3%, respectively. Even with big gains like the +145.2% in March 2024, SHIB has given back those gains by midsummer.

Unless new catalysts emerge, historical performance suggests Shiba Inu could face another slow, red summer — with price history pointing to downside risk in the months ahead.